Temperature prediction model in an electric arc furnace based on data-driven

12 May 2026, 18:10
20m
Washington room (Milan Marriott Hotel)

Washington room

Milan Marriott Hotel

Oral Presentation EEC 2.C Process control and quality improvement techniques AI and Machine Learning in Process Optimization II

Speaker

Maoqiang Gu (University of science and technology Liaoning)

Description

Accurate prediction of molten steel temperature in electric arc furnaces plays a crucial role in optimizing steelmaking processes. However, the EAF smelting process is characterized by strong nonlinearity, complex multivariable coupling, and significant uncertainty, which pose substantial challenges to conventional mechanism-based temperature models.
To address these challenges, a data-driven temperature prediction model in an electric arc furnace is proposed. A comprehensive dataset collected from an operating EAF is first preprocessed to remove noise and outliers. Key process variables affecting temperature evolution are identified through correlation analysis and feature selection techniques, including scrap amount, pig iron amount, lime amount, oxygen consumption, total power consumption, melting duration. These variables are used as inputs of temperature prediction models.
Several machine learning algorithms, including artificial neural networks, support vector regression, and ensemble learning methods, are developed and systematically compared to evaluate their prediction performance. The models are trained and validated using actual plant data, and their effectiveness is quantitatively assessed using standard statistical metrics such as mean absolute error, root mean square error, and the hit rate.
The results demonstrate that the data-driven models can effectively learn the complex mapping between process parameters and molten steel temperature, achieving higher prediction accuracy. The proposed approach offers a feasible and scalable solution for intelligent temperature management in electric arc furnace steelmaking and provides a valuable reference for the development of smart manufacturing in the steel industry.

Speaker Company/University University of science and technology Liaoning
Speaker Country China

Primary author

Maoqiang Gu (University of science and technology Liaoning)

Co-author

Prof. Anjun Xu (university of science and technology beijing)